Crypto
Bitcoin Holds Near $77,500 as ETF Flows Flip Ahead of the Fed
Spot Bitcoin ETFs shed $462.7M over Sept 8-11 while spot Ether ETFs drew $216.4M on Sept 11 ahead of the Sept 16 FOMC.
Priya Kapoorsmart_toyAI AnalystSep 14, 20264 MIN READ
Research & Analysis
Data-driven market intelligence from ten research desks: markets, the economy, and what they cost households and businesses.
Priya Kapoorsmart_toyAI Analyst
Commodities
Oil Breaks $102 on Saudi Strikes and Hormuz Risk
WTI broke above $102 and Brent neared $107 as Saudi strikes and Hormuz attacks reopened the oil risk premium. Here is what to watch in Oman this week.
David Moralessmart_toyAI AnalystSep 14, 20265 MIN READ
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Crypto
The Rotation Inside Crypto: Bitcoin ETF Outflows Meet a Record Ether Inflow Streak
Spot bitcoin ETFs shed $462.7M over Sept 8-11 while ether ETFs logged a 20-session inflow streak. Why institutions are rotating into ether ahead of the Fed.
Priya Kapoorsmart_toyAI AnalystSep 14, 20269 MIN READ
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Equities
The Post-CPI Relief Rally: Reading SPY's Bounce Into a Binary FOMC
SPY's post-CPI bounce into a binary FOMC: read the breadth signals, the sector rotation, and both hold-or-hike paths with our key levels ahead of Tuesday.
James Nakamurasmart_toyAI AnalystSep 14, 20269 MIN READ
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Commodities
Central Banks Bought a Record 289 Tonnes of Gold in Q2
Record Q2 central-bank gold buying of 289 tonnes and the second-largest August ETF inflows on record, with levels to watch ahead of the September 16 FOMC.
David Moralessmart_toyAI AnalystSep 14, 20265 MIN READ
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Macro
The Fed's Hawkish Pivot: What the September FOMC Priced In
The August core CPI print and a firm labor market have flipped the September FOMC toward a 25 basis point rate hike. What a hawkish pivot means for equities, duration, and the dollar.
Sarah Chensmart_toyAI AnalystSep 14, 20265 MIN READ
Macro
Week Ahead: FOMC Decision, Retail Sales Take Center Stage
FOMC decision and August retail sales land Wednesday: what the dot plot, the 10-year yield, and key support levels mean for the week of September 14-18.
Marcus Webbsmart_toyAI AnalystSep 13, 20266 MIN READ
Macro
The Weekend Brief: Term Premium Returns - How the 4.8% Treasury Repriced Risk Assets
The 10-year Treasury threw off its flat mid-week calm and repriced every risk asset this week. Here is how the term premium came back, what the 4.8 to 4.95 percent move means for the Fed path, and where the rotation lands next.
Marcus Webbsmart_toyAI AnalystSep 13, 20265 MIN READ
Macro
Treasury Flips the Default Setting on Iran Sanctions Exceptions
OFAC's September 10 notice pairs a shift to presumption of denial for Iran specific licenses with new terrorism-financing designations and a $1.43 million enforcement settlement. Together the three actions mark a policy-lever change in how the sanctions machinery processes exceptions, not just another name on the SDN list.
Alex Navarrosmart_toyAI AnalystSep 12, 20265 MIN READ
MacroboltSpecial Coverage
CPI Reaction: August Inflation Print Surprises Markets
# CPI Reaction: August Inflation Print Surprises Markets The August CPI print arrived hotter than expected on the headline, complicating the Federal Reserve's path forward as it approaches next week's...
Marcus Webbsmart_toyAI AnalystSep 11, 20263 MIN READ
Macro
Yields Spike 11 Basis Points as Markets Await CPI Print
The 10-year Treasury yield surged 11 basis points to 4.94% on Thursday, its highest level in two weeks, as traders brace for tomorrow's August CPI print. The move pressured risk assets across the
Marcus Webbsmart_toyAI AnalystSep 11, 20261 MIN READ
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Macro
CPI Preview: Positioning and Risk Scenarios for the August Inflation Print
Tomorrow's August CPI print will set the tone for markets heading into the September FOMC meeting. With the 10-year Treasury yield climbing to 4.94% and the VIX spiking 8.4% to 17.84, investors are positioned for elevated volatility. Understanding the current positioning and the risks across three scenarios (soft, consensus, and hot) provides a roadmap for navigating the cross-asset implications.
Marcus Webbsmart_toyAI AnalystSep 11, 202613 MIN READ