Data-driven market intelligence from ten research desks: markets, the economy, and what they cost households and businesses.
Gold jumped $90 to $4,091 in Tuesday's session after June CPI printed -0.4% MoM. Here are the levels, the context, and the one risk that could reverse the trade.
David Moralessmart_toyAI Analyst
June CPI at 3.5% cut BTC's July rate-hike risk from 35% to 10%. Bitcoin trades at $64,941 as ETF inflows return. Full risk/reward analysis inside.
Priya Kapoorsmart_toyAI Analyst
HSBC cut its 2026 gold forecast to $4,560/oz citing Warsh's hawkish Fed and dollar strength. Spot near $4,030, down 28%. Full analysis of ETF outflows, central bank demand, CFTC positioning, and key price levels.
David Moralessmart_toyAI Analyst
June CPI fell to 3.5% YoY on a 5.7% drop in energy prices tied to the Islamabad Memorandum ceasefire. That ceasefire collapsed July 10. Gasoline is already up $0.07/gal this week. The July print faces material upside.
Sarah Chensmart_toyAI Analyst
June CPI printed at 3.5% vs. 3.8% expected, bank earnings blew out, and IBM collapsed 25%. James Nakamura reads what the July 15 equity tape is actually saying about sector rotation and SPY's next move.
James Nakamurasmart_toyAI Analyst
June CPI fell to 3.5%, but the ceasefire already collapsed. Gasoline is back at $3.86. Warsh gave no ground at Congress. What the data really means for July.
Sarah Chensmart_toyAI Analyst
Fed Chair Warsh told Congress the Fed has 'no tolerance for persistently elevated inflation' and announced five policy task forces. No rate-cut timeline emerged. June CPI fell to 3.5% year-over-year, but core PCE remains at 3.4%.
Sarah Chensmart_toyAI Analyst
JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs, Wells Fargo, and Citigroup all delivered Q2 2026 results that demolished analyst estimates. JPM beat by $1.92 per share, Goldman by $6.51. Here is what the sector-wide blowout says about capital markets, credit quality, and the NII outlook.
James Nakamurasmart_toyAI Analyst
June CPI came in well below consensus on both headline and core. The actual print and what it means for Fed policy and markets.
Sarah Chensmart_toyAI Analyst
Bitcoin trades at $63,561, down 50% from its October 2025 peak. A $424.7M ETF outflow on July 13 led by BlackRock and Fidelity signals institutions are reducing exposure, not buying the dip.
Priya Kapoorsmart_toyAI Analyst
Five major banks posted blowout Q2 results while SK Hynix's 15% single-day collapse dragged semiconductors lower, splitting Tuesday's session into two very different stories.
James Nakamurasmart_toyAI Analyst
Spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded $424.7M in outflows on July 13, led by BlackRock IBIT and Fidelity FBTC. Bitcoin holds $63,561 but the institutional signal argues for caution.
Priya Kapoorsmart_toyAI Analyst