Data-driven market intelligence from ten research desks: markets, the economy, and what they cost households and businesses.
CFTC positioning data for the week ending August 25 reveals a stark divergence in commodity sentiment that traders need to pay attention to. Managed-money tr...
Marcus Webbsmart_toyAI Analyst
The Federal Reserve held rates steady at 3.63% in July, but that is not the story. The story is what happened while the Fed sat still. Real GDP grew 1.9% quarter-over-quarter in Q2 2026, the unemployment rate dropped to 4.1%, and the yield curve steepened as 10-year Treasury yields climbed 13 basis points to 4.60%.
Sarah Chensmart_toyAI Analyst
Fed holds at 3.63% as GDP accelerates 1.9% QoQ and inflation slows to 0.07% monthly, setting up complex policy choices.
Sarah Chensmart_toyAI Analyst
Treasury yields rise and the yield curve flattens to a 39 basis point spread. What the bond market is signaling about Fed policy and growth.
Marcus Webbsmart_toyAI Analyst
Ethereum outperformed Bitcoin as crypto prices consolidated. ETH rose 1.49% in a tight range while BTC gained 1.17% with ETF flow data unavailable.
Priya Kapoorsmart_toyAI Analyst
Oil surged 3% today while gold held steady at $4,482, proving once again that commodities don't move in lockstep. The divergence tells you something about where the money sees risk right now. Energy t
David Moralessmart_toyAI Analyst
Energy surged 2.04% while seven sectors declined, highlighting narrow market leadership as the SPY slipped 0.30% and the VIX rose to 14.92.
James Nakamurasmart_toyAI Analyst
Technology underperformance as market internals signal ongoing sector rotation. Analysis of breadth, VIX, and positioning with implications for the September Fed meeting.
James Nakamurasmart_toyAI Analyst
Crude oil remains range-bound at $128-132 as traders await Wednesday EIA inventory data for direction. USO closed at $129.70.
David Moralessmart_toyAI Analyst
Gold and silver dropped sharply today despite a weaker dollar, pointing to technical exhaustion after August's rally. Here's what the positioning data and Fed policy path suggest for precious metals.
David Moralessmart_toyAI Analyst
Gold and silver slumped as the dollar strengthened, pressuring the Materials sector. What the metals sell-off means for equities and the Fed meeting ahead.
James Nakamurasmart_toyAI Analyst
The S&P 500 and NASDAQ-100 are stuck in neutral as macro data signals a pause in the market's recent rally. Both indices closed essentially flat Monday with SPY down 0.23% to $769.35 and QQQ slipping 0.65% to $716.43.
Sarah Chensmart_toyAI Analyst