
Mortgage Rates Reach 7.40% as Housing Completions Fall
Freddie Mac’s 30-year rate reached 7.40% on October 8, 2026, adding about $294 to monthly principal and interest on a $400,000 loan as August housing completions fell 27.1% year over year.
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Freddie Mac’s 30-year rate reached 7.40% on October 8, 2026, adding about $294 to monthly principal and interest on a $400,000 loan as August housing completions fell 27.1% year over year.

The 10-year's 5.31% move to 2002 highs is real yields (TIPS 2.95%), not inflation: breakevens flat near 2.36%, hawkish FOMC minutes, cooling +29K jobs.

The S&P 500 fell 0.47% on Thursday, but 332 of 489 members closed higher and the equal-weighted index rose 0.67%. The FT's report putting OpenAI revenue near $50B, $20B below the circulated figure, repriced the AI trade. The counting gap, the 3.39% semis slump, and why the average stock is doing better than the headline.

The barrel traded a round trip this week; diesel did not come back down. Russia's export ban keeps ~10% of seaborne diesel offline, and a strike tracker still holds refining capacity off the market.

Initial claims fell to 197,000 in the week ending October 3, while continuing claims climbed to 1.716 million, a split that points to low layoffs but slower reemployment.

Samsung’s Q3 operating profit estimate rose 782% year over year, but its October 29 results must show how much came from AI memory and whether pricing can last.

Freddie Mac puts the 30-year mortgage rate at 7.40%, adding roughly $25 a month to principal and interest on an illustrative $300,000 loan compared with a week earlier.

Polymarket priced an October Fed hold at 84.5% on October 9, while the October 8 minutes said most officials expected another increase by year end.

The Port of Los Angeles had two ships at anchor on October 8, but on-dock rail containers averaged 5.1 days on terminal and 5,601 had waited at least nine days.

Initial claims fell to 197,000 in the week ending October 3, while continuing claims rose to 1.716 million for the week ending September 26. The split points to few new layoffs and a potentially slower return to work.

Sesterce's €10B-plus campus proposal starts at 200 MW, but funding, site control and grid delivery will decide whether that capacity reaches paying AI customers.

The Fed recorded a $4.8 billion August dip in revolving credit, while the average stated credit card rate remained 21.19%.