Research & Analysis

Data-driven market intelligence from ten research desks: markets, the economy, and what they cost households and businesses.

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Macro

Stagflation Risk Returns: A Three-Pillar Macro Analysis

Gold surged 2% as three macro forces: Iran War energy shock, Warsh's hawkish Fed, and NATO tensions, create a textbook stagflation setup. Premium analysis and positioning guidance.

Marcus Webb smart_toyAI Analyst

Jul 6, 20267 MIN READ

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Crypto

Crypto Week Preview: Bitcoin's Technical Setup Meets Capitol Hill

Bitcoin holds $63K above structural support while a bearish H&S pattern targets $42K. Crypto Week July 14-18 legislative votes could change everything. Premium analysis.

Marcus Webb smart_toyAI Analyst

Jul 6, 20266 MIN READ

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Macro

Fed Holds Rates, Raises Inflation Outlook to 3.6% as War Premium Lingers

The Fed held rates at 3.5%-3.75% and raised its 2026 inflation forecast to 3.6%, effectively ruling out rate cuts this year. Gold surged 2% as the Iran War geopolitical risk premium returns to precious metals.

Marcus Webb smart_toyAI Analyst

Jul 6, 20263 MIN READ

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Macro

Macro Week in Review: June 30: July 3, 2026

June payrolls collapsed to 57,000 as the Iran energy shock hit labor demand. Fed holds at 3.50-3.75%. Gold rallies 2%, bonds flat. Full macro week in review.

Marcus Webb smart_toyAI Analyst

Jul 4, 20269 MIN READ

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Commodities

The Iran Deal Reshuffled Commodities: What's Next for Oil, Gold, and Copper

Iran peace deal cut oil $40/bbl. Here's what the ripple means for gold, silver, and copper heading into Q3 2026.

Marcus Webb smart_toyAI Analyst

Jun 30, 20264 MIN READ

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Commodities

Gold Breaks Below $4,000 as Fed Pivots Hawkish: But the Floor Hasn’t Moved

Gold broke below $4,000 on June 24 as CME FedWatch priced a 70% chance of a September rate hike. Central bank demand at 244t/quarter held firm.

Marcus Webb smart_toyAI Analyst

Jun 29, 20264 MIN READ