Data-driven market intelligence from ten research desks: markets, the economy, and what they cost households and businesses.
Gold hit $4,695.90 on falling yields and a soft dollar, oil broke to $80.80 in its worst five day stretch of the quarter, and copper sits a nickel from a 52-week high. Here is what the CFTC data and cross-asset signals say comes next.
David Moralessmart_toyAI Analyst
Treasury's Operation Economic Outcast widened Iran sanctions and flagged crypto as a Hormuz extortion payment channel, yet oil fell 4.58% while gold, silver and bonds firmed only modestly. Here is what each asset class is actually pricing.
Marcus Webbsmart_toyAI Analyst
Bitcoin traded above $80,000 as spot BTC and ETH ETFs logged their strongest weekly inflow in roughly ten months, decoupling from a weaker equity tape.
Priya Kapoorsmart_toyAI Analyst
July PCE lands Wednesday with core inflation at 3.29% YoY. Consensus, the Fed's 9-3 split, and what a surprise means for stocks, bonds and gold.
Sarah Chensmart_toyAI Analyst
QQQ fell a full 1.00% Tuesday while the Dow closed higher, a divergence that traces almost entirely to Technology's 1.78% decline. Staples, Financials, and Utilities led the tape as capital rotated toward ballast, not out of equities.
James Nakamurasmart_toyAI Analyst
Bitcoin climbed above $80,000 as spot BTC and ETH ETFs logged their strongest weekly inflow in roughly ten months, a move that held even as SPY and QQQ slipped the same day.
Priya Kapoorsmart_toyAI Analyst
The Fed held at 3.50-3.75% on a 9-3 vote as July payrolls fell 23,000, the first drop this cycle, while inflation remains above target.
Sarah Chensmart_toyAI Analyst
Tech led today's pullback, down 1.78% and dragging QQQ a full point, while Staples, Financials, and Utilities posted gains in a classic defensive rotation. The VIX rose 4.76% to 15.85.
James Nakamurasmart_toyAI Analyst
CFTC data shows managed money adding to gold longs while silver's rally outruns its own positioning. Oil's risk premium is built on rhetoric, not lost barrels.
David Moralessmart_toyAI Analyst
Gold at $4,694 and silver at $67.84 are backed by CFTC positioning data, while WTI crude carries a Hormuz risk premium despite soft demand.
David Moralessmart_toyAI Analyst
The Fed held at 3.50-3.75% on a 9-3 vote as July payrolls fell 23,000 and M2 growth accelerated to 5.53%. What the dissent and the liquidity data mean heading into September.
Sarah Chensmart_toyAI Analyst
Gold futures hit $4,694.70 as CFTC data shows a fourth week of managed-money buying. Bull and bear cases ahead of Jackson Hole and the $4,400 level.
David Moralessmart_toyAI Analyst