Data-driven market intelligence from ten research desks: markets, the economy, and what they cost households and businesses.
September's hot core CPI briefly pushed October rate-hike odds near 50% before Fed speakers signalled patience, and gold reclaimed the rebound to about $4,195. Resistance at $4,180-4,220 still caps the metal.
David Moralessmart_toyAI Analyst
Brent is near $104.42 and WTI near $94.11, per Reuters, as a reported US push to ease shadow-fleet sanctions cuts freight costs against a live Hormuz attack risk.
David Moralessmart_toyAI Analyst
Gold held near $4,177 on October 14 after slipping off a $4,216 breakout, caught between a dollar at an 18-month high and a 10-year yield near 5.3%. Silver consolidated near $59.2, and copper kept grinding higher near $6.75. Today's CPI is the swing factor.
David Moralessmart_toyAI Analyst
Gold holds near $4,190 as central banks bought a record 289 tonnes in Q2. A 5.3% 10-year yield and strong dollar cap it into Wednesday's CPI.
David Moralessmart_toyAI Analyst
Diplomacy knocked the premium down at the Monday open, but Hurricane Isaias and a mounting Russian refinery campaign keep supply risk firmly bid.
Marcus Webbsmart_toyAI Analyst
DOE authorized up to 4 million barrels from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve as an emergency exchange after Hurricane Isaias knocked out about 69% of Gulf oil output. The structure, the borrowers, and what it does and doesn't fix.
David Moralessmart_toyAI Analyst
The US Treasury suspended Russian diesel sanctions until April 2027 after Putin agreed to release fuel in tranches. What it means for the diesel crack.
David Moralessmart_toyAI Analyst
Gold bounced about 0.9 percent to roughly $4,171 after holding its two-month low, while the PBoC added 740,000 ounces for a 23rd straight month and silver's speculative net length collapsed 43 percent.
David Moralessmart_toyAI Analyst
MMS operator reports show 62.89% of Gulf oil output shut in, a 1.28 million barrels a day outage, and the same storm also puts 500,000 barrels a day of refining capacity at risk on top of sanctions-driven tightness near $100.
David Moralessmart_toyAI Analyst
Treasury designated 17 shadow fleet tankers under Operation Economic Outcast on Oct 8, cutting the ships that move Iranian crude, naphtha and fuel oil to Asian buyers and reinforcing the supply-side bid on oil near $100. A look at the vessels, the numbers and what to watch to the Nov 3 midterms.
David Moralessmart_toyAI Analyst
Silver slid to its cheapest in two months on Thursday, and the Fed's Chris Waller told an Istanbul forum that more rate hikes are coming until inflation is back at 2 percent.
David Moralessmart_toyAI Analyst
Gold steadied near $4,100-4,140 after hawkish September FOMC minutes took it to a two-month low, but 23 straight months of PBoC buying and a 39-tonne August haul put a floor under the metal. Here is what holds $4,065-4,080 and what breaks it.
David Moralessmart_toyAI Analyst