
Fannie Mae Mortgage Applications Fall 14.3% as Rates Rise
Fannie Mae’s purchase applications fell 14.3% from a year earlier as the 30-year mortgage average reached 7.28%, a warning for October sales and contract data.
Daily coverage · Weekly briefing Mondays · Daniel Okafor
Mortgage rates, prices, inventory and permits. The housing market as a system.

Fannie Mae’s purchase applications fell 14.3% from a year earlier as the 30-year mortgage average reached 7.28%, a warning for October sales and contract data.

A 20%-down buyer faces a $1,922 monthly payment, up 6.7% while a typical home value rose just 1%; pending sales fell 8.5%.

September listings rose 5.4% year over year while pending listings fell 4.1%, showing why lower asking prices have not yet overcome mortgage-payment pressure.

Realtor.com estimates 13.9 million homes occupied by Baby Boomers and the Silent Generation will be vacated by 2036, but only 380,000 are starter homes, limiting relief for first-time buyers.

August single-family starts rose 7.6% to 918,000 at an annual rate, but permits fell and completions remained sharply lower year over year, leaving the next report to test whether new supply can catch up.

Freddie Mac's October 1 mortgage rate hit 7.28%, while September price cuts reached 20.8% and pending sales fell 4.1% year over year, a mismatch that leaves sellers adjusting faster than prices can clear homes.

Existing-home supply rose in August, but sales fell and mortgage rates climbed. The next housing data releases will test whether added choice can lift demand.

Freddie Mac’s October 1 rate print reached 7.28%, lifting a $400,000 loan payment by about $251 versus a year earlier.

Freddie Mac’s October 1 rate print adds $215 to monthly principal and interest on a fixed $343,280 loan versus a year ago, but pending sales and permits will reveal the lagged effect.

August single-family starts jumped 7.6 percent to 918,000 SAAR on September 17, but single-family permits fell for a third straight month and completions collapsed 27 percent year over year, so the rebound is a noisy month, not a trend.

The MBA survey put the 30-year fixed at 7.30 percent for the week ending September 25, the highest since November 2023, and applications fell to their slowest pace since 2025.

Refinance applications ran 62% below last year for the week ending September 18, the slowest pace since February 2025, as the 30-year fix hit 7.12% and the ARM share jumped to 9.8%.