
ASML Q3 2026: AI Demand Exceeds Planned Tool Supply
ASML says planned lithography supply for 2027 and 2028 will not meet customer demand forecasts, sharpening the question of how quickly AI-linked chip investment can become added wafer output.
Daily coverage · Weekly briefing Mondays · Lena Fischer
The AI industry through the markets lens: capex, chips, earnings and funding.

ASML says planned lithography supply for 2027 and 2028 will not meet customer demand forecasts, sharpening the question of how quickly AI-linked chip investment can become added wafer output.

Scaleway's October 13 plans pair NVIDIA B300 capacity in Copenhagen with AMD MI355X in Sweden, but undisclosed scale and utilization keep the revenue signal unproven.

A new grid standard specifies computing-load recovery after voltage disturbances, but leaves cooling loads and site-level interconnection decisions outside its fast-response commitment.

NVIDIA and Cisco set a 12.8 Tb/s target for a new AI optical module, but the October 12 announcement is a design plan rather than evidence of customer deployments or revenue.

TSMC's third-quarter 2026 gross-margin guide fell below its second-quarter result even as September revenue rose 54.6% year over year, putting utilization, packaging costs and October 15 guidance at the center of the AI supply-chain debate.

Samsung’s third-quarter estimate and Micron’s record fiscal results point to strong memory demand, while TSMC’s September sales show the foundry engine still growing. The next check is TSMC’s October 15 earnings call.

Samsung’s Q3 operating profit estimate rose 782% year over year, but its October 29 results must show how much came from AI memory and whether pricing can last.

Sesterce's €10B-plus campus proposal starts at 200 MW, but funding, site control and grid delivery will decide whether that capacity reaches paying AI customers.

GlobalFoundries and TSMC disclosed a five-year $2 billion manufacturing deal, while production at the New York site is not expected to ramp until 2028.

The White House says eleven industry partners committed $2.4 billion in compute credits and tools for federal science research, including $1 billion from NVIDIA.

Investors typed MRVL stock this week for one reason: Marvell just put some very large AI revenue numbers on its roadmap, and Wall Street raised its targets to match.

Applied Digital spent $2.08 billion on investment in its August quarter, while HPC rent was $65.8 million. The next test is how quickly new capacity converts into recurring revenue.