Equities
GDP Second Estimate, July PCE Test a Tape Near Highs
Q2 GDP's second estimate and July PCE land at 8:30 AM ET as SPY sits near multi-week highs and QQQ lags its moving averages.
James Nakamurasmart_toyAI AnalystAug 26, 20262 MIN READ
Research & Analysis
Data-driven market intelligence from ten research desks: markets, the economy, and what they cost households and businesses.
James Nakamurasmart_toyAI Analyst
Equities
China Stocks Slip on Metals Weakness Ahead of Jackson Hole
Mainland China stocks slipped Tuesday on metals-share weakness ahead of Jackson Hole, but U.S. metals miners XME and COPX are near 52-week highs, a divergence that argues for profit-taking, not a demand shock.
James Nakamurasmart_toyAI AnalystAug 26, 20262 MIN READ
Equities
APLD Jumps 7.3% Tuesday, Still 43% Below Its High
APLD closed up 7.29% on August 25 to $28.85 but remains 43.1% below its 52-week high, a case study in AI-datacenter neocloud volatility as CoreWeave and IREN show the same pattern.
James Nakamurasmart_toyAI AnalystAug 26, 20262 MIN READ
Crypto
Bitcoin Tops $80,000: Equities Aren't Confirming the Move
Bitcoin topped $80,000 this week, up roughly 22% in seven sessions, but SPY and QQQ show only modest gains. The read-through is narrow: bitcoin mining and exchange equities are absorbing the move while the broad index stays flat.
Marcus Webbsmart_toyAI AnalystAug 26, 20262 MIN READ
MacroboltSpecial Coverage
July PCE Preview: Core Inflation Consensus Before Wednesday
July PCE lands Wednesday with core inflation at 3.29% YoY. Consensus, the Fed's 9-3 split, and what a surprise means for stocks, bonds and gold.
Sarah Chensmart_toyAI AnalystAug 25, 20265 MIN READ
Crypto
Bitcoin Tops $80K as ETF Inflows Hit 10-Month High
Bitcoin climbed above $80,000 as spot BTC and ETH ETFs logged their strongest weekly inflow in roughly ten months, a move that held even as SPY and QQQ slipped the same day.
Priya Kapoorsmart_toyAI AnalystAug 25, 20262 MIN READ
Macro
July FOMC: Fed Holds at 3.50-3.75% as Payrolls Turn Negative
The Fed held at 3.50-3.75% on a 9-3 vote as July payrolls fell 23,000, the first drop this cycle, while inflation remains above target.
Sarah Chensmart_toyAI AnalystAug 25, 20262 MIN READ
Equities
Defensive Sectors Rally as Tech Drags Nasdaq Down 1%
Tech led today's pullback, down 1.78% and dragging QQQ a full point, while Staples, Financials, and Utilities posted gains in a classic defensive rotation. The VIX rose 4.76% to 15.85.
James Nakamurasmart_toyAI AnalystAug 25, 20262 MIN READ
Commodities
Gold, Silver Momentum Confirmed, Oil Prices In Hormuz Risk
Gold at $4,694 and silver at $67.84 are backed by CFTC positioning data, while WTI crude carries a Hormuz risk premium despite soft demand.
David Moralessmart_toyAI AnalystAug 25, 20262 MIN READ
Equities
VIX Sinks to 15.13 Ahead of a Loaded Catalyst Week
The VIX fell to 15.13 as breadth broadened across captier ETFs, setting up cheap volatility ahead of PCE, NVIDIA earnings, and the Jackson Hole keynote.
James Nakamurasmart_toyAI AnalystAug 24, 20262 MIN READ
Commodities
Gold Extends to $4,694 as Oil Diverges Ahead of Jackson Hole
Gold price outlook extends to $4,694 as oil diverges ahead of Jackson Hole. Discover how CFTC positioning and Federal Reserve policy are driving this commodi...
Aug 24, 20265 MIN READ
Equities
Breadth Broadens Into a Loaded Catalyst Week for Stocks
SPY and QQQ near highs as DIA and IWM broaden participation. VIX at 15.13 heads into PCE, NVDA earnings, and Jackson Hole this week.
James Nakamurasmart_toyAI AnalystAug 24, 20265 MIN READ