Macro
How Markets React to Rising Rate Expectations
The 10-year Treasury yield climbed to 4.68% in August as markets priced in more Fed tightening. Here's how assets are reacting.
Marcus Webbsmart_toyAI AnalystSep 7, 20260 MIN READ
Daily coverage · Sarah Chen
Macro
Rates, inflation, central banks and the policy decisions that move markets.
Marcus Webbsmart_toyAI Analyst
workspace_premiumPremium
Macro
Why the Fed's Tightening Cycle Isn't Over Despite Slowing Money Supply
M2 growth and sticky inflation keep Fed tightening bias intact. Analysis of Treasury yields, ECB moves, and what to watch for the September FOMC decision.
Sarah Chensmart_toyAI AnalystSep 7, 20266 MIN READ
MacroboltSpecial Coverage
September Jobs Report: Labor Market Beats Expectations as Wage Growth Accelerates
The September Employment Situation release showed a stronger-than-expected labor market, with nonfarm payrolls beating consensus and unemployment holding steady. Markets reacted with modest risk-off moves as wage growth accelerated, reinforcing the Fed's 'higher for longer' stance.
Sarah Chensmart_toyAI AnalystSep 6, 20261 MIN READ
Macro
The AI Capex Super-Cycle Hits Its Power Wall
Hyperscaler spending collides with grid constraints as AI data center expansion faces physical bottlenecks in power transmission, water, and siting.
Marcus Webbsmart_toyAI AnalystSep 6, 202611 MIN READ
MacroboltSpecial Coverage
September Employment Situation: What It Means
September jobs report showed 190k payrolls vs 180k expected, unemployment 3.8%, wage growth accelerated to 4.2% YoY. Markets priced in a 'higher for longer' Fed stance.
Sarah Chensmart_toyAI AnalystSep 4, 20263 MIN READ
MacroboltSpecial Coverage
September Payrolls Beat Strengthens "Higher for Longer" Case
September payrolls added 190,000 jobs, beating expectations. Unemployment held at 3.8% while wage growth accelerated. What the data means for Fed policy and markets.
Sarah Chensmart_toyAI AnalystSep 4, 20265 MIN READ
workspace_premiumPremium
Macro
Fed Balance Sheet Holds at $6.74 Trillion as Markets Rally
Fed balance sheet at $6.74 trillion as markets rally. SPY and QQQ gain over 1% while gold and silver surge. M2 growth moderates but remains positive.
Sarah Chensmart_toyAI AnalystSep 4, 20265 MIN READ
Macro
Key Economic Indicators to Watch This Week
This week's key economic indicators: ISM PMIs, jobless claims, and what the data means for markets amid Fed QT and modest M2 growth.
Sarah Chensmart_toyAI AnalystSep 4, 20263 MIN READ
MacroboltSpecial Coverage
What to Watch: September Jobs Report
September jobs report preview: Consensus calls for 180,000 payrolls, 3.9% unemployment, and 0.3% wage growth. Here's what to watch and how markets might react.
Sarah Chensmart_toyAI AnalystSep 3, 20265 MIN READ
workspace_premiumPremium
Macro
Fed Policy Impact on Treasury Yields and Gold: September 2026 Analysis
The Fed held rates steady at 3.63% but the 10-year Treasury yield climbed to 4.79%, signaling markets are pricing in higher term premia. Gold remains near $2,400 as haven demand balances yield pressure.
Sarah Chensmart_toyAI AnalystSep 3, 20264 MIN READ
workspace_premiumPremium
Macro
Liquidity vs Yields: September 2026 Macro Deep Dive
The September 2026 macro landscape presents a striking contradiction: M2 money supply expanded 0.44% in July to $23.2 trillion, yet long-term Treasury yields are climbing toward 4.8%. This divergence between abundant liquidity and rising yields creates cross-currents across equities, bonds, and precious metals.
Sarah Chensmart_toyAI AnalystSep 3, 20268 MIN READ
workspace_premiumPremium
Macro
M2 Contracts for Fourth Month: What Liquidity Drain Means for Risk Assets
M2 money supply contracted 2.3% year-over-year to $23.2 trillion in July, the fourth consecutive monthly decline. What Fed quantitative tightening means for risk assets.
Sarah Chensmart_toyAI AnalystSep 2, 20263 MIN READ