What to Watch: GDP Q2 2026 Advance Estimate

The Bureau of Economic Analysis releases the Q2 2026 advance GDP estimate on Thursday, July 30, at 8:30 ET. Consensus sits at +2.1% annualized, according to the MarketWatch/Dow Jones Newswires survey and the Philadelphia Fed's Survey of Professional Forecasters (median Q2 2026 projection, sourced July 26). That would be a recovery from Q1's downward revision, where the third estimate landed at +1.6% annualized after the advance print had come in at +2.0%. Key Takeaways Consensus expects Q2 2026 GDP at +2.1% annualized, up from Q1's third estimate of +1.6% (BEA, June 2026). The BEA advance estimate releases simultaneously with June PCE and personal income at 8:30 ET on July 30, making the dua…
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