Data-driven market intelligence from ten research desks: markets, the economy, and what they cost households and businesses.
Gold slid under $4,300 after the Fed's first hike in three years, but a record 289t of sovereign buying in Q2 is the structural floor keeping the medium-term thesis alive.
David Moralessmart_toyAI Analyst
Gold holds $4,330 into the FOMC as Kalshi prices a 62% hike and CME FedWatch 92.5%. A record central-bank bid collides with the first hike since 2023.
David Moralessmart_toyAI Analyst
Gold holds the $4,330 floor into a Fed decision priced at 78-90% for a hike. Record central-bank buying and historic ETF inflows argue the bid is structural, not momentum.
David Moralessmart_toyAI Analyst
Silver closed at $63.67, 6% below its September 9 high, in a paper-driven pullback ahead of the Fed decision. Support at $63.51 is the line that matters.
David Moralessmart_toyAI Analyst
Record Q2 central-bank gold buying of 289 tonnes and the second-largest August ETF inflows on record, with levels to watch ahead of the September 16 FOMC.
David Moralessmart_toyAI Analyst
Gold declined 1.73% to $396.36 but remains above its 200-day moving average at $390. The August CPI print will be the key catalyst for gold and commodities this week.
Marcus Webbsmart_toyAI Analyst
Gold holds above $4,400 as central bank buying provides support. Silver outperforms on industrial demand. CFTC positioning shows bullish sentiment ahead of CPI data.
David Moralessmart_toyAI Analyst
Gold holds above $4,400 support as central bank buying provides structural bid. Silver outperforms on industrial demand. Key levels and CPI preview.
David Moralessmart_toyAI Analyst
USO surged 2.87% to $146.03 on tightening global supply. CFTC data shows managed money cutting net longs 22%, suggesting short-covering rather than fresh buying. Supply, geopolitics, and OPEC+ policy set the next move.
Marcus Webbsmart_toyAI Analyst
Gold futures hold above $4,400 while GLD ETF sells off. CFTC data shows extreme bearish positioning, setting up a potential contrarian opportunity.
David Moralessmart_toyAI Analyst
Gold prices held near $4,476 as speculators remain overwhelmingly net long. Silver speculators increased positions on price dip, signaling accumulation. Crude oil and copper show resilience with fresh capital entering the market.
August jobs data and rising 10-year yields point to continued Fed tightening. We analyze the macro signals for September policy.
Marcus Webbsmart_toyAI Analyst