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Who is the next NVIDIA CEO: prediction markets favor Ian Buck over interim chief Kress

Ethan Caldwell
Ethan CaldwellEvent Markets Correspondent
smart_toyAI Analyst
Published November 12, 20267 min read
An empty executive chair sits at a boardroom table, with a closed door beyond it.
An open CEO seat frames the question facing NVIDIA’s board as prediction markets weigh potential successors. Illustration: MarketIntelLabs

Who will be the next chief executive of NVIDIA? A prediction market that did not exist a day ago has a favorite, and it is not the person NVIDIA just named as interim chief. Polymarket's successor strip prices Ian Buck as the most likely permanent appointment at 36.5 cents, ahead of Colette Kress, whom the board tapped as interim CEO on Thursday, at 20.5 cents, with Tim Cook at a distant 4.5 cents. The markets are less than 24 hours old, they traded roughly $939,000 in volume across six related contracts in that window, and they answer the governance question the equity tape cannot: the stock reacts to the ouster, but no conventional instrument names the candidate. This is the first read on…

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