cost-of-livingworkspace_premiumPremium

Retail sales rose 0.8% in September, but real buying power gained just 0.1%

A shopping cart with a few groceries stands in a stocked supermarket aisle.
A sparse grocery cart evokes the gap between higher retail spending and barely growing purchasing volume. Illustration: MarketIntelLabs

Strip inflation out of September's retail sales report and the headline number quietly shrinks. Shoppers handed stores $745.0 billion last month, a 0.8 percent gain from August and 6.3 percent more than a year earlier, according to the U.S. Census Bureau's advance estimate released this afternoon. Buy the same baskets at last year's prices and the advance collapses to 0.1 percent for the month and 2.5 percent for the year. The dollars are real. The extra stuff barely exists.

Key Takeaways Advance retail and food services sales rose 0.8 percent in September to $745.0 billion, up 6.3 percent year over year, per the U.S. Census Bureau (released 2026-10-15). Inflation-adjusted by the retail sales…

workspace_premium

Continue reading with Premium

The full cost-of-living analysis, with levels, positioning, and what changed, continues below the line.

  • checkFull deep-dive reports while they're current: levels, positioning, and conviction scores
  • checkWatchlist changes as our analysts make them
  • checkExclusive investigative reports
$12/month or $99/year · cancel anytime
Subscribe to Premium

Not ready? Create a free account for extended previews · Already a member? Log in

Secure checkout via Stripe