commodities

Copper Price Lifts to $14,420 on Softer Dollar, China Spot

Published October 21, 20262 min read
Copper cathode sheets stacked on pallets beside open bays in a softly lit warehouse.
Copper cathodes evoke the physical supply behind the rise in London copper prices. Illustration: MarketIntelLabs

LME copper was changing hands near $14,420.50 a tonne in Wednesday trading, up 0.57%, as a softer dollar and scarce spot cargoes in China gave the red metal a tailwind while the wider metals complex wrestled with a hawkish Federal Reserve.

The London contract is the cleaner read of the two copper prices this session. COMEX copper slipped 0.17% to $6.59 a pound, an offset to Wednesday's gain across the Atlantic, but the physical signal underneath is what matters to traders. The Yangshan warrant premium, the fee importers pay to take delivery of bonded copper in Shanghai, holds at $138 a tonne, and that is a direct sign of how thin spot cargoes have become against steady Chinese buying.

Related reading: Gold price and silver at records into a hawkish Fed: what's driving the metals bid.

A softer dollar adds a second layer of support. A cheaper greenback lowers the cost of the dollar-priced metal for foreign buyers, which is why copper came through as one of the relative winners in the complex on the day, according to the Shanghai Metals Market.

Crossing the headwind is the macro read. Global growth still looks shaky, and tariffs cap how far the metal can run, which is why the desk keeps the copper bias neutral with low confidence over the short term.

Related reading: Gold Price Slips to $4,177 as the Dollar Hits an 18-Month High.

What to watch next is whether the China spot squeeze broadens into a sustained drawdown from LME registered stocks, or whether a firmer dollar and a weaker growth print take the premium back out. For now the Yangshan number is the level that tells the physical story, and at $138 a tonne it is pointing to a market where buyers want the metal more than the paper.

Related reading: Gold at Seven-Week Lows as 5.2% Yields Beat the Haven Bid.

Related reading: Gold Price Holds as Central Bank Buying Hits a Record in Q2.

This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Get daily intelligence delivered

Create a free account for the Daily Brief every weekday and The Week Ahead every Sunday. No card required.