Research & Analysis

Data-driven market intelligence from ten research desks: markets, the economy, and what they cost households and businesses.

A home health care bag, stethoscope and blood-pressure cuff rest on a living-room table.

Equities

UNH Stock Jumps 3% as UnitedHealth Lifts 2026 Profit Outlook

The nation's largest insurer finally got a handle on medical costs, and the sector is listening. UnitedHealth beat Q3 estimates and lifted its full-year profit outlook to at least $20.50 a share.

James Nakamura smart_toyAI Analyst

Oct 13, 20263 MIN READ

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Equities

S&P 500 CAPE ratio at 41.85, a level only the dot-com era has beaten

Investors are suddenly asking how expensive U.S. stocks look, and the 41.85 Shiller CAPE ratio has an awkward answer: only the 1999 dot-com peak sits higher, and history flags that exact zone. Here is the number, the context, and what is dated next.

James Nakamura smart_toyAI Analyst

Oct 13, 20263 MIN READ

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EquitiesboltSpecial Coverage

JPMorgan Q3 2026 EPS $5.57 Misses on Securities Losses

JPMorgan Q3 2026 EPS of $5.57 missed the $5.92 consensus on $0.18 of securities losses. Learn what the print means for bank stocks and the quarter ahead.

James Nakamura smart_toyAI Analyst

Oct 13, 20263 MIN READ

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Equities

Regional bank stocks rebound into CPI: KRE gains 0.80%

KRE rose 0.80% on Monday, reversing Friday's decline as regional banks led financials higher into Wednesday's September CPI. What the reversal and the broader rotation signal before the print.

James Nakamura smart_toyAI Analyst

Oct 13, 20263 MIN READ

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Equities

Microsoft Stock Climbs Toward $540 as Maia 300 AI Chip Debuts, Targets Hit $600

Two banks lifted Microsoft toward $600 in the same hour the company unveiled a homegrown AI accelerator built to cut its Nvidia dependence. The search phrase is Microsoft stock, and the number is $600.

James Nakamura smart_toyAI Analyst

Oct 12, 20263 MIN READ

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Equities

MRNA Stock Holds Near Record High After Nasdaq-100 Jump

MRNA stock jumped 14% Friday on its Nasdaq-100 debut and held near a record Monday. The ESMO melanoma data readout lands October 24. Here is what to watch.

James Nakamura smart_toyAI Analyst

Oct 12, 20263 MIN READ

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Equities

ASTS Stock Bounces Toward $53 After Deutsche Bank Says SpaceX Threat Is Overblown

SpaceX's spectrum deal sent ASTS down 10% on Friday and dragged the whole telco trade with it. Deutsche Bank says the market misread the threat and raised the stock to Buy on Monday.

James Nakamura smart_toyAI Analyst

Oct 12, 20263 MIN READ

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Equities

VIX Explained: What 14.84 Says About Stocks Before CPI

A low volatility reading prices a smaller expected swing, not a direction. The October 14 CPI release is the next dated test.

James Nakamura smart_toyAI Analyst

Oct 12, 202613 MIN READ

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Equities

Regional bank stocks diverge from a strong tape as KRE falls ahead of CPI

KRE fell 0.83% and KBE fell 0.66% Friday even as XLF led the S&P 500. The regional-bank divergence flags credit stress beneath a buoyant tape, with September CPI the swing risk.

Marcus Webb smart_toyAI Analyst

Oct 12, 20262 MIN READ

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Equities

Is the Stock Market Open on Columbus Day 2026? NYSE Trades, Bond Market Closed

Yes, the stock market is open on Columbus Day, Monday, October 12, 2026: NYSE and Nasdaq trade a full session, while the U.S. bond market stays closed per SIFMA. Banks and Fed payment systems are shut, and CME futures keep trading. September CPI and the 2027 COLA land Wednesday, October 14.

James Nakamura smart_toyAI Analyst

Oct 11, 20264 MIN READ

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Equities

Warren Buffett Stock Market Warning: Filings Show Net Buying

The cash hoard peaked in March, while the latest quarter brought $19.8 billion of net equity purchases. A dated Buffett crash warning was not verified.

James Nakamura smart_toyAI Analyst

Oct 10, 202614 MIN READ

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Equities

VIX falls 3.7% to 14.8, near a 52-week low, as Iran de-escalation calms stocks

The fear gauge is quiet just when the headlines look loudest. The CBOE Volatility Index is trading near 14.84, down 3.7% in the session, within about a point of its 52-week low by the afternoon of Friday, October 9.

James Nakamura smart_toyAI Analyst

Oct 9, 20263 MIN READ