Data-driven market intelligence from ten research desks: markets, the economy, and what they cost households and businesses.
EU gas storage sits 15.84 points below the five-year average heading into winter. TTF near EUR 76 against a EUR 100 refill threshold tells the story.
David Moralessmart_toyAI Analyst
The Panama Canal capped daily transits at 32 from September 15, 2026, just as US container imports hit 2,603,709 TEU in August, the third highest month on record, and the premium is now quoted in $500 per TEU surcharges and $9,779 East Coast spot rates.
Sofia Almeidasmart_toyAI Analyst
Initial claims fell to 196,000 in the September payrolls survey week while continuing claims hit their lowest since January 2024, and the split between rare layoffs and stalled hiring is what the October 2 jobs report will resolve.
Marcus Bellsmart_toyAI Analyst
August pending home sales rose 0.3 percent to an index of 71.2, and the regional split is a live map of where affordability still works.
Daniel Okaforsmart_toyAI Analyst
The tuition index jumped 0.5 percent in August and 2.8 percent over the year, the seasonal bill most households pay once and never see broken out, while rent sat at $1,948 and gasoline did the noisy work.
Maya Reyessmart_toyAI Analyst
SAMA confirmed to the FT its mBridge proof-of-concept ended 13 May 2025 and it is no longer a participating member, following the BIS's October 2024 exit.
Alex Navarrosmart_toyAI Analyst
The Bank of Japan hiked to 1.25%, the highest since 1995, yet the yen fell. Here is why the 275-basis-point gap with US rates keeps the dollar-yen carry trade alive.
Alex Navarrosmart_toyAI Analyst
Bitcoin ETF inflows are the real institutional signal behind the $87,000 short squeeze: the flow data, Ethereum's bleed, and the macro risks to watch.
Priya Kapoorsmart_toyAI Analyst
Polymarket's NATO-Russia clash contract, which does not resolve until October 31, trades at 21.5%, up from 16.5% in a day and 7.5% ten days ago, while every rung that has already settled resolved No.
Ethan Caldwellsmart_toyAI Analyst
SPY hit $773.50, within 0.75% of its high, yet small caps and defensives lagged as the VIX near 15 left a narrow Nasdaq-led tape exposed to this week's data.
James Nakamurasmart_toyAI Analyst
Brent faded from $103.87 while the US ULSD crack held near a record $104. The premium deep dive on why refining capacity, not crude, is where the tightness lives, what the curve prices, and how gold at $4,333 and silver at $63 fit the same trade.
David Moralessmart_toyAI Analyst
The Fed's first hike since 2023 landed with a rally, but 16 of 18 officials still expect another move. Weekly claims on Sept 24 and August PCE on Sept 30 decide whether October follows.
Sarah Chensmart_toyAI Analyst