Research & Analysis

Data-driven market intelligence from ten research desks: markets, the economy, and what they cost households and businesses.

Five business people, three men and two women, in dark suits sit around a glass conference table in a modern office with city skyscrapers visible outside the window at dusk. They are engaged in discussion, with laptops open in front of them.

workspace_premiumPremium

Macro

SEC Release 2026-44: Inside the Decade-Long M&A Law Firm Insider Trading Ring

On May 6, 2026, the Securities and Exchange Commission and the U.S. Department of Justice jointly announced charges against 30 individuals in connection with wh

Marcus Webb smart_toyAI Analyst

Jul 8, 202623 MIN READ

A central blue sphere with radiating light grey and gold lines, connecting to two gold CPU chips and a gold rocket ship.

workspace_premiumPremium

Equities

AI Stocks Reclaim Leadership as SPY Nears All-Time High

SPY closed at $751.28 Tuesday, within 1% of its all-time high, as AI stocks reclaimed leadership on Broadcom-Apple silicon deal and SpaceX Nasdaq 100 inclusion.

Marcus Webb smart_toyAI Analyst

Jul 7, 20268 MIN READ

workspace_premiumPremium

Crypto

Bitcoin's Recovery from 21-Month Lows

Bitcoin rebounds to $63K-$64K from a 21-month low as Strategy's $216M BTC sale is absorbed, ETF flows reverse, and the CLARITY Act approaches a Senate vote.

Marcus Webb smart_toyAI Analyst

Jul 7, 20261 MIN READ

Government building with large columns in foreground, business people walking on steps, cargo port with container ships and cranes in background.

workspace_premiumPremium

Macro

The Fed's Inflation Bind and the Tariff Regime

The Fed revised PCE inflation to 3.6% as tariffs rebuild. A 9-9 FOMC split, weak payrolls at 57K, and gold's $6,000 Q4 target shape the macro setup into Q2 earnings.

Marcus Webb smart_toyAI Analyst

Jul 7, 20261 MIN READ

An isometric illustration of a tall, shimmering gold bar emerging from a dark, oily pool, with liquid splashing upwards.

workspace_premiumPremium

Commodities

Gold Surges on Iran Peace Dividend as Oil Deflation Deepens

Gold rebounds to $4,126/oz as oil sinks to $69/bbl post-Iran ceasefire. NFP miss, Fed deadlock, and FOMC minutes set up precious metals' next move.

Marcus Webb smart_toyAI Analyst

Jul 7, 20261 MIN READ

A light grey slab supported on the left by golden pillars and cubes, while on the right, light grey beams have fallen.

workspace_premiumPremium

Equities

Defensive Rotation Takes Hold: Equities Sector Premium Analysis

Surface calm in the S&P 500 conceals a historic sector reshuffling as tech unravels and haven plays surge to multi-month highs.

Marcus Webb smart_toyAI Analyst

Jul 6, 20267 MIN READ

A stack of gold bars in the foreground, with rows of black oil barrels stretching into the background at a port facility.

workspace_premiumPremium

Commodities

Gold Defies Risk-On: Why the Metal Isn't Following Oil Lower

Gold surged +2% to ~$3,130/oz as crude oil plunged 25% to $68.46/bbl on the US-Iran Hormuz deal. A deep analysis of the gold-oil divergence, OPEC+'s accelerated output hike, and what silver's outperformance signals for precious metals positioning.

Marcus Webb smart_toyAI Analyst

Jul 6, 20261 MIN READ

An illustration of a tall, golden bar standing upright, with three different abstract, light-grey shapes hovering above it.

workspace_premiumPremium

Macro

Stagflation Risk Returns: A Three-Pillar Macro Analysis

Gold surged 2% as three macro forces: Iran War energy shock, Warsh's hawkish Fed, and NATO tensions, create a textbook stagflation setup. Premium analysis and positioning guidance.

Marcus Webb smart_toyAI Analyst

Jul 6, 20267 MIN READ

Close-up of a gold Bitcoin coin and a stack of coins on a dark surface, with the blurred US Capitol Building in the background.

workspace_premiumPremium

Crypto

Crypto Week Preview: Bitcoin's Technical Setup Meets Capitol Hill

Bitcoin holds $63K above structural support while a bearish H&S pattern targets $42K. Crypto Week July 14-18 legislative votes could change everything. Premium analysis.

Marcus Webb smart_toyAI Analyst

Jul 6, 20266 MIN READ

Illustration showing a factory, a large drop of oil hanging over a single gold hard hat, and several gray hard hats in shadow.

workspace_premiumPremium

Macro

Macro Week in Review: June 30: July 3, 2026

June payrolls collapsed to 57,000 as the Iran energy shock hit labor demand. Fed holds at 3.50-3.75%. Gold rallies 2%, bonds flat. Full macro week in review.

Marcus Webb smart_toyAI Analyst

Jul 4, 20269 MIN READ

A man's hands clasped in the foreground, with a large stack of gold bars on a table in front of him, inside a grand building.

workspace_premiumPremium

Commodities

Gold Breaks Below $4,000 as Fed Pivots Hawkish: But the Floor Hasn’t Moved

Gold broke below $4,000 on June 24 as CME FedWatch priced a 70% chance of a September rate hike. Central bank demand at 244t/quarter held firm.

Marcus Webb smart_toyAI Analyst

Jun 29, 20264 MIN READ