
Bitcoin, Ethereum Flat as Macro Drivers Stay Muted
Bitcoin and Ethereum are trading in tight ranges with no clear direction. Macro drivers remain muted and the market awaits the next catalyst.
Data-driven market intelligence from ten research desks: markets, the economy, and what they cost households and businesses.

Bitcoin and Ethereum are trading in tight ranges with no clear direction. Macro drivers remain muted and the market awaits the next catalyst.

The Technology sector (XLK) surged 3.16%, lifting the S&P 500 (+0.66%) and Nasdaq 100 (+1.37%), but eight of eleven sectors closed lower, raising questions about rally sustainability.

July CPI rose just 0.07% month-over-month while unemployment dropped to 4.1%, pointing to contained price pressures and a resilient labor market. SPY and QQQ both rallied on the data.

Gold and silver advance as oil jumps 2% on Middle East tensions. Silver outperforms gold while agricultural commodities diverge in today's commodities market...

The VIX dropped 4.60% to 14.51 while the CBOE Total Put/Call Ratio fell to 0.73, signaling reduced hedging demand and a shift toward call-side positioning. Compressed volatility leaves markets vulnerable to shock.

The Fed's balance sheet has been flat near $6.75 trillion since mid-July while core PCE runs at 3.34%. QT has quietly paused. This tension between hawkish dissents and liquidity constraints is what Jackson Hole 2026 is really about.

Bitcoin holds near $78,800, down 0.3%, as ETH and SOL slip 0.7% and BTC dominance sits at 59.1% with ETF flow data unavailable.

GLD closed $421.32 Wednesday, down 1.58% from Tuesday's $428.07 high. Crude holds near $80 as gold's $415 support level comes into focus.

Jackson Hole 2026 opens today under a payments-and-policy theme, Chair Warsh's first appearance since confirmation. Here is what markets are watching.

SPY closed at $766.08 Thursday, up 0.02%, as Industrials and Technology led a 5-5 sector split while Health Care and Real Estate lagged.

July PCE matched the 0.2% core inflation consensus and held at 3.3% y/y, but personal income jumped 0.4%, more than double forecasts. First market reaction, real prints inside.

Q2 GDP held at 1.5% in the second estimate, matching the advance print and consensus, but the GDP price index was revised up to 6.4% from 6.2%, the hottest inflation reading in the report since 2022.