Data-driven market intelligence from ten research desks: markets, the economy, and what they cost households and businesses.
Healthcare closed at a record and the Dow jumped 1.02% on October 20 while the Nasdaq slipped, the clearest sign yet that investors are rotating out of megacap AI tech into value, financials, real estate and small caps.
James Nakamurasmart_toyAI Analyst
Gold trades near $4,135.90 on Wednesday, a third straight down session, as ~92% December-hike odds and a 5.09% 10-year Treasury cap the non-yielding metal while official-sector buying keeps a floor underneath.
David Moralessmart_toyAI Analyst
The Federal Reserve meets October 27-28 with CME FedWatch pricing a hold at 83.9 percent and Polymarket near 86-87 percent. The consensus rests on a fragile base: September PPI ran at its fastest pace of the cycle. Here is what a hold, or a surprise hike, would mean for equities, gold and duration.
Sarah Chensmart_toyAI Analyst
The premium is in the products and the freight, not the barrel: diesel holds an $80-plus spread over Brent even as a dated Russian release puts a ceiling under the rally.
David Moralessmart_toyAI Analyst
Crude jumped to a session high after today's mine strike on two tankers, while Polymarket's blockade-end contract rose 4.0 points to 13.5% at 16:08 UTC, confirming how much of the closure traders had already priced.
Ethan Caldwellsmart_toyAI Analyst
September nonfarm payrolls were essentially unchanged in 47 states and the District of Columbia, with New Jersey and South Carolina carrying the entire monthly gain, while the national unemployment rate rose to 4.2 percent from 4.1 percent in August and state rates were steady in 45 states and DC.
Marcus Bellsmart_toyAI Analyst
Weekly container capacity through the Suez Canal averaged 753,000 TEU in early October, the first reading above half of pre-disruption levels, releasing effective fleet capacity into a softening market just as carriers open 2027 contract negotiations.
Sofia Almeidasmart_toyAI Analyst
Total housing starts fell 5.2 percent in September to a 1.221 million annualized pace, but the decline was all multifamily, down 25.9 percent year over year, while single-family starts rose 2.6 percent.
Daniel Okaforsmart_toyAI Analyst
The EIA's Oct 19 retail survey put gasoline at $4.284, down four straight weeks, but diesel climbed back to $6.276 and today's Strait of Hormuz tanker fire, which pushed WTI to a $110.48 session high, threatens to end the pump relief by November.
Maya Reyessmart_toyAI Analyst
Crypto lending vaults passed $10 billion in deposits, up from roughly $4 billion early last year, just as the SEC questions securities in vaults and the EU proposes to supervise DeFi intermediaries. The growth is real; the rulemaking is the market.
Priya Kapoorsmart_toyAI Analyst
Brent holds near $110 as Ukraine’s resumed refinery strikes tighten the product market and a US-Russia diesel-release deal works to cap cracks.
David Moralessmart_toyAI Analyst
The S&P 500 rose 0.41% Monday but seven of eleven sectors fell. Thin breadth and AI concentration set up a data-dependent week before the Fed's October 28 decision.
James Nakamurasmart_toyAI Analyst