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Two wars, one squeeze: Hormuz down to 8 ships a day, EU diesel up 38%

Published September 21, 202611 min read
An oil tanker moves through a narrow strait at dusk with flare stacks glowing on a distant horizon.
As fighting throttles the Strait of Hormuz and Russian refineries, Europe is squeezed by two wars at once. Illustration: MarketIntelLabs

Two wars have stripped the world's shock absorbers at the same moment, and Europe is the economy sitting between them. This is not one conflict with two fronts. The crude market is a Hormuz trade, the diesel and diesel-adjacent market is a Ukraine trade, and the continent's gas is a little of both. That split is why a barrel of Brent can ease while the bill at a European pump keeps climbing.

Key Takeaways Strait of Hormuz transits ran at 8 a day against an 85/day baseline as the US-Iran war kept the world's busiest chokepoint throttled (IMF PortWatch). Brent settled at $103.87 a barrel on Sept 18, up from about $72 before the war, after spiking past $126 at the peak (Euronews/ICE settle). EU…

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Two wars, one squeeze: Hormuz down to 8 ships a day, EU diesel up 38% | MarketIntelLabs