macro

Market Positioning Ahead of Fed Meetings

Published September 11, 20264 min read
Line chart of 10-Year Treasury Yield, last 90 days on a dark background
The 10-year Treasury yield climbed 11 basis points to 4.94% on September 10 as markets repositioned ahead of the Fed's September 16 policy decision. Illustration: MarketIntelLabs

The 10-year Treasury yield climbed 11 basis points to 4.94% on Tuesday as markets repositioned ahead of the Federal Reserve's September 16 policy decision. The move came alongside a 0.60% decline in the S&P 500 and a 1.06% drop in the Nasdaq 100, suggesting investors are de-risking into the CPI print and FOMC meeting.

our Fed policy coverage Key Takeaways Fed funds futures price an 85% probability of no rate change next week The 10-year yield's approach to 5.0% has triggered a rotation out of rate-sensitive equities Gold's 1.73% decline reflects rising real yields as inflation expectations remain elevated Crypto's resilience against equity selling suggests a regime shift in cross-asset correl…

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