macroboltSpecial Coverage

August PPI Jumps 0.9% vs Consensus for Decline, Inflation Pressure Rebounds

Published September 10, 20262 min read
Line chart of 10-Year Treasury Yield, last 90 days on a dark background

The Producer Price Index rose 0.9% month-over-month in August, shattering expectations for a 0.5% decline and marking the sharpest gain since February. Year-over-year, producer inflation accelerated to 6.4%, more than triple the 1.8% consensus forecast. The print breaks three consecutive months of declining wholesale prices and signals that the disinflationary trend may be stalling just as markets had grown comfortable with a near-term Fed pivot.

Key Takeaways August PPI rose 0.9% month-over-month versus consensus for -0.5% decline. Year-over-year PPI accelerated to 6.4% from July's 1.5% pace. The surprise breaks three months of consecutive wholesale price declines. Markets reacted with stock…

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