macroboltSpecial Coverage

August CPI: What to Watch as Inflation Data Lands

Published September 10, 20263 min read

Softly lit grocery store aisle with stocked shelves and a blurred fuel pump in the background — As shelter and energy costs steer the CPI report, everyday prices remain the Fed's closest watch point. Illustration: MarketIntelLabs

Markets expect the August Consumer Price Index to show headline inflation rising 0.2% month-over-month and 2.9% year-over-year, with core prices climbing 0.3% on the month. Those numbers put the Federal Reserve's September rate decision squarely in focus. The consensus from Bloomberg surveys as of September 6 shows inflation accelerating from July's 0.1% monthly increase, but the core reading still runs hot enough to keep policymakers cautious.

Related reading: Steady Expansion, Not Overheating: Why the Fed Is Holding Pat , Yield Curve Steepens as Treasury Yields Rise to 4.8% , Macro Landscape Stable: M2 Growth, CPI Uptick, and Fed Policy Outlook .

For more on Fed policy and inflation, see our…

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