What to Watch: August CPI
Markets are pricing in another quarter-point cooldown when the Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the August Consumer Price Index at 8:30 a.m. Eastern on Friday. Consensus expects headline CPI at 2.9% year-over-year, down from July's 2.8%, with core prices running 0.3% month-over-month for the third straight month. The delta between headline and core continues to narrow as energy volatility fades, but services inflation remains the Fed's primary concern.
Key Takeaways Consensus expects headline CPI at 2.9% year-over-year and core prices up 0.3% month-over-month in August. A core print above 0.3% month-over-month would force the Fed to hold rates in November, while a sub-0.2% reading would re…
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