
Gold Surges on Iran Peace Dividend as Oil Deflation Deepens
Gold rebounds to $4,126/oz as oil sinks to $69/bbl post-Iran ceasefire. NFP miss, Fed deadlock, and FOMC minutes set up precious metals' next move.
Daily coverage · David Morales
Gold, silver, oil, copper and agriculture — supply, demand and price levels.

Gold rebounds to $4,126/oz as oil sinks to $69/bbl post-Iran ceasefire. NFP miss, Fed deadlock, and FOMC minutes set up precious metals' next move.

Gold surged +2% to ~$3,130/oz as crude oil plunged 25% to $68.46/bbl on the US-Iran Hormuz deal. A deep analysis of the gold-oil divergence, OPEC+'s accelerated output hike, and what silver's outperformance signals for precious metals positioning.

WTI crude oil fell to $68.46 per barrel, its lowest since February, completing a 25% one-month collapse after the US-Iran Strait of Hormuz agreement restored energy flows. OPEC+ approved an additional 188,000 bpd for August.

Iran peace deal cut oil $40/bbl. Here's what the ripple means for gold, silver, and copper heading into Q3 2026.

Gold broke below $4,000 on June 24 as CME FedWatch priced a 70% chance of a September rate hike. Central bank demand at 244t/quarter held firm.